{"id":223,"date":"2026-06-17T20:35:14","date_gmt":"2026-06-17T20:35:14","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/homemovechronicle.com\/?p=223"},"modified":"2026-06-17T20:35:14","modified_gmt":"2026-06-17T20:35:14","slug":"the-text-of-trumps-iran-deal-is-out-its-worse-than-i-thought","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/homemovechronicle.com\/?p=223","title":{"rendered":"The Text of Trump\u2019s Iran Deal Is Out. It\u2019s Worse Than I Thought."},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Now that the text of the U.S.\u2013Iran ceasefire agreement is widely circulating in the media,it\u2019s clear why President Donald Trump wanted to keep it secret from the time he announced its existence last Sunday\u2014his birthday\u2014until the ceremony where the parties sign it this Friday. (Because of the leaks, a White House official read aloud the final, only slightly altered version to reporters on Wednesday.)<\/p>\n

Read more The Dumbest Way Pete Hegseth Is Draining the Military<\/a><\/p>\n

It turns out the \u201cdeal,\u201d as Trump called it (though it\u2019s really a \u201cframework\u201d for a deal and a fuzzy framework at that\u2014more like a memorandum of little understanding), is tilted entirely to Iran\u2019s advantage and provides no meaningful leverage for the U.S. to impose demands on Iran in the subsequent negotiations for a permanent peace.<\/p>\n

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Those negotiations are supposed to begin after the framework is signed in Geneva this Friday and are to last 60 days.<\/p>\n

Trump and his aides have heralded as a major accomplishment the eighth of the framework\u2019s 14 paragraphs, which states: \u201cThe Islamic Republic of Iran reaffirms that it shall not procure or develop nuclear weapons.\u201d Notice the word reaffirms<\/em>. The , which Iran and six other countries signed in 2015 (and Trump scuttled three years later), stated, in its prologue, in almost identical language: \u201cIran reaffirms that under no circumstances will Iran ever seek, develop or acquire any nuclear weapons.\u201d Even there, Iran \u201creaffirmed\u201d the pledge because it had made the same promise when it signed the in 1970. (See Articles II and III of the NPT in particular.)<\/p>\n

Maybe the Iranians were lying then, maybe they\u2019re lying now. The point is, in this respect, Trump\u2019s big tout is nothing new.<\/p>\n

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The framework\u2019s first paragraph declares \u201cthe immediate and permanent termination of military operations on all fronts, including in Lebanon.\u201d Permanent<\/em> is a big word, especially when it characterizes peace in any patch of the Middle East, where, as Trump said two weeks ago, \u201cceasefire\u201d means \u201cshooting in a moderate manner.\u201d But let\u2019s take the article at face value. Even if the U.S. and Iran are sincere in this pledge, the war front is explicitly said to include Lebanon, where Israel has been bombing Hezbollah militias and the militias have been firing back. Neither Israel nor Hezbollah was involved in the negotiations of this framework. They will not be included in the signing party. Israeli officials have said they will not be bound by any final treaty\u2019s terms. And while Trump has assailed Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu as \u201ca very difficult guy,\u201d it would be hard to blame Israel\u2019s politicians for retaliating for more missile attacks on their country. One can imagine this scenario: All is well on the Iranian front; Hezbollah fires some missiles at Israel; Israel retaliates; Iran pulls out of the deal, citing the exchange as a violation; Trump publicly blames Israel for sabotaging his peace; anti-Israel sentiments worldwide intensify. This would very much be in Hezbollah\u2019s\u2014and perhaps Iran\u2019s\u2014interest.<\/p>\n

The most bizarre paragraph in the framework calls on the U.S. not only to end its naval blockade within 30 days (reasonable) but also to \u201cremove its [military] forces from the proximity\u201d of Iran. It\u2019s unclear what \u201cproximity\u201d means in this context. The U.S. has long maintained massive air and naval bases, patrolled the waters, and occasionally deployed troops in many areas well within Iran\u2019s proximity. \u00a0Does this mean that, by signing the framework, the U.S. agrees to shut down those bases? If not, what does the clause mean, and why did U.S. negotiators agree to it without explicit clarification? Did anybody<\/em> on our side of the table read<\/em> this thing?<\/p>\n

There is more still in this page-and-a-half document that\u2019s certain to set off political fireworks\u2014most of all, the four paragraphs involving payments of vast sums of money to Iran. One calls for lifting all<\/em> economic sanctions against Iran\u2014those imposed by the U.S., other countries, and the U.N. This goes well beyond the Obama-era nuclear deal, which lifted only the sanctions stemming from Iran\u2019s nuclear activities; it kept in place the sanctions penalizing Iran for its ballistic-missile production and its support of terrorist groups. Trump\u2019s deal lifts those sanctions too\u2014while putting no limits on Iran\u2019s missile program or its funding of terrorists.<\/p>\n

In another of these articles, the U.S. pledges to develop a plan, along with its Gulf partners, to raise \u201cat least $300 billion\u201d for Iran\u2019s rehabilitation and economic development. (An earlier leaked draft of the memorandum said the U.S. would \u201csecure financing\u201d for this fund. Either this clause has been dropped, or there\u2019s a disagreement over interpretation.)\u00a0Either way, it\u2019s not clear where the money will come from. Trump has since said the Gulf states will provide it. It is unlikely that those Sunni states will hand over hundreds of billions of dollars to rebuild and enrich Shiite Iran. In any case, the whole business is politically awkward for Trump. He has long savaged Barack Obama for giving $1.7 billion to Iran as part of the nuclear deal, calling it a bribe. In fact, Obama was merely returning $1.7 billion in Iranian assets that the U.S. had frozen ever since the 1979 Islamic Revolution.<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s framework does attach a condition to the $300 billion fund\u2014it will be put in place \u201cas part of the final agreement,\u201d i.e., only if the U.S. and Iran sign an actual deal after the 60-day negotiation. The same is true of the clause lifting sanctions. That will happen, the memorandum states, in those same negotiations.<\/p>\n

However, these caveats are inconsistent with other articles of the framework. For instance, Paragraph 11 states that the U.S. will make Iran\u2019s frozen or restricted assets \u201cfully available for use \u2026 upon the implementation\u201d of this memorandum of understanding\u2014in other words, just as the negotiations begin, not after they\u2019re completed.<\/p>\n

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This point is reaffirmed in Paragraph 13, which states that negotiations for a final deal will be \u201csubject to the beginning of the implementation of Paragraphs 1, 4, 5, 10, and 11 of this memorandum.\u201d (Except for paragraph 1, which mentions the ceasefire, those articles are all about the release of money to Iran.) Negotiations will then begin \u201cexclusively on the other<\/em> paragraphs\u201d (italics added)\u2014i.e., on the paragraphs that do not pertain to money.<\/p>\n

In other words, there will be no final agreement\u2014not even full negotiations toward a final agreement\u2014until Iran at least starts to get its money.<\/p>\n

The subjects remaining to be negotiated mainly concern the opening of the Strait of Hormuz and the status of Iran\u2019s nuclear program. On the former, the memo seems clear at first glance: Upon signing the memo this Friday, Iran \u201cwill make arrangements using its best efforts for the safe passage of commercial passage with no charge for 60 days only.\u201d \u00a0It does not say whether they\u2019ll charge ships for transit after those 60 days.<\/p>\n

On Iran\u2019s nuclear program, the memorandum says nothing beyond the pledge never to \u201cprocure or develop\u201d nuclear weapons (which, as noted, is nothing new). Whether Iran will be allowed to enrich uranium, and, if so, to what level; what happens to Iran\u2019s 1,000-pound stockpile of highly enriched uranium; whether international inspectors will be allowed to verify Iran\u2019s compliance with whatever restrictions are outlined\u2014these, among many other questions, are very complicated matters, even assuming good intentions on both sides (which, of course, cannot be assumed by either side).<\/p>\n

These sorts of questions took up a good deal of the 20 months that it took the negotiating teams of six countries\u2014the U.S., Iran, Britain, France, Russia, and China\u2014to hammer out the 157 pages of the nuclear deal back in 2015. It is extremely unlikely that such matters can be resolved now in a mere 60 days. The framework does say the 60-day deadline can be extended, with both sides\u2019 agreement\u2014and it is a sure thing, if the talks go on for as long as 60 days, that Iran will stretch it out, so that it can keep reaping the deal\u2019s benefits without making any compromises.<\/p>\n

Trump may want to stretch out the talks as well, to avoid any comparisons to Obama\u2019s nuclear deal, which he continues to condemn without evidence. (In his Sunday phone chat with the New York Times\u2019 David Sanger, Trump said that Obama\u2019s deal \u201cwas a road to a nuclear weapon\u201d while his own framework \u201cis a wall against a nuclear weapon.\u201d This is total nonsense.)<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s obsession with superseding Obama leads to one other obstacle that Trump may face\u2014Congress, including (in fact, mainly<\/em>) his Republican colleagues. The 2015 nuclear deal didn\u2019t require congressional ratification because Obama cleverly deemed it a \u201cmultinational agreement,\u201d not a \u201ctreaty.\u201d In reaction to that, Congress passed the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, which requires congressional review of any accord involving Iran\u2019s nuclear program, no matter what a president might call it.<\/p>\n

The INARA passed back in 2015 with strong bipartisan support because many Democrats, as well as almost all Republicans, innately distrusted Iran. This is probably still the case today, especially since Trump revved up the hostility with his war. His continued disparagement of the Obama-era accord will also ensure that lawmakers on both sides of the aisle check whether Trump\u2019s deal is more or less lenient toward Iran than Obama\u2019s.<\/p>\n

It\u2019s no contest. Trump\u2019s deal, at least so far, amounts to an outright concession that Iran won the war. Very few, in Congress or among the public, are going to go for that.<\/span><\/p>\n

Read more Susan Collins\u2019 Secret Sauce<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

It\u2019s more like a memorandum of little understanding!<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":222,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[36],"tags":[10,39,55],"class_list":["post-223","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-war-stories","tag-donald-trump","tag-iran","tag-war"],"yoast_head":"\nThe Text of Trump\u2019s Iran Deal Is Out. It\u2019s Worse Than I Thought. - Home Move Chronicle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/homemovechronicle.com\/?p=223\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"The Text of Trump\u2019s Iran Deal Is Out. 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